Red States Outnumber Blue for First Time in Gallup Tracking

White House 2016
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We can thank Obama for this.

And we can elect a true conservative like Cruz because of Obama and Hillary.

Carter beget Reagan.
Dinkins beget Giuliani.
Obama begets Cruz.

Trump is in complete self-destruct mode. Today he is attacking Cruz on the Iowa win, calling for a “do-over.” He is taking sore loser to a new low. It won’t fly. Trump’s biggest problem is his poll negatives are sky high, despite his popularity.

“Red States Outnumber Blue for First Time in Gallup Tracking,” Gallup, February 3, 2016:
20 states solidly or leaning Republican, 14 solidly or leaning Democratic
Wyoming most Republican state; Vermont, Hawaii most Democratic

Alabama and Idaho are most conservative states

PRINCETON, N.J. — Gallup’s analysis of political party affiliation at the state level in 2015 finds that 20 states are solidly Republican or leaning Republican, compared with 14 solidly Democratic or leaning Democratic states. The remaining 16 are competitive. This is the first time in Gallup’s eight years of tracking partisanship by state that there have been more Republican than Democratic states. It also marks a dramatic shift from 2008, when Democratic strength nationally was its greatest in recent decades.

Political Composition of the 50 U.S. States

Importantly, even though Republicans claim a greater number of states, Democrats continue to hold an edge nationally in partisanship. In 2015 Gallup Daily tracking data, 43% of all U.S. adults identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic, compared with 40% identifying as Republican or leaning Republican. That is largely because many of the most populous states, including California, New York and Illinois, are Democratically aligned.

Party Affiliation of U.S. States

Gallup asks Americans each day as part of its Daily tracking survey whether they identify politically as a Democrat, a Republican or an independent. Independents are then probed as to whether they lean toward the Democratic or Republican Party. Combining the percentage of party identifiers and leaners gives a sense of the relative strength of each party in a given state, particularly because the percentage of political independents varies widely from state to state and can be high in states in which one party dominates electoral outcomes. The estimates are based on Gallup Daily tracking interviewing throughout 2015 and include no fewer than 488 residents in any state, with most state samples greater than 1,000.

Gallup considers states to be solidly favoring one party when they have a greater-than 10-percentage-point advantage over the other in party affiliation among the state’s adult population. “Leaning” states are those in which one party has an advantage of more than five points but less than 10 points. Competitive states show the parties within five points of each other.

In 2008, Democrats enjoyed a better-than 10-point advantage in party affiliation nationwide, as President George W. Bush suffered through low job approval ratings as a result of the recession and the ongoing war in Iraq. That year, Gallup classified a total of 35 states as solidly Democratic or Democratic leaning, compared with only five solidly or leaning Republican states.

In the last several years, excluding 2012 when President Barack Obama won re-election, there has been a roughly equal number of Democratic and Republican states. But that changed last year, when many more states’ political leanings moved in a Republican rather than a Democratic direction, giving Republicans a lead in more states than Democrats.

In all, 13 states’ political classifications changed between 2014 and 2015, with 11 of these shifting in a more Republican direction. The Democrats lost three states — Maine, Pennsylvania and Michigan — each of which moved from Democratic-leaning to competitive. Meanwhile, Republicans gained five states — New Hampshire, West Virginia, Missouri, South Carolina and Texas — all moving from competitive to leaning or solidly Republican. Additionally, Alaska and Oklahoma shifted from leaning Republican to being solidly Republican, and Delaware from being solidly Democratic to leaning Democratic.

Nebraska and New Mexico are the two states that moved in a more Democratic direction, though Nebraska remains in the Republican column, shifting from solidly Republican to leaning Republican. New Mexico moved from a leaning Democratic state to a solid one.

The following map displays the political classification of each state based on 2015 data. The full party results for each state appear at the end of the article.

Party Affiliation by State, 2015

Wyoming Most Republican State; Vermont and Hawaii Most Democratic

The Republican Party had its biggest advantage in state party affiliation in Wyoming in 2015 — 60% of Wyoming adults identified as Republican or leaned Republican, while 28% identified as Democrats or leaned Democratic — a 32-point gap. The GOP advantage was nearly as large in Idaho and Utah, at roughly 30 points each. Vermont and Hawaii were the most Democratic states, with advantages in favor of the Democratic Party in excess of 20 points.

Most Republican and Most Democratic States, 2015

The most Republican and most Democratic states have been fairly consistent over time. Wyoming, Utah, Idaho and Kansas have been among the 10 most Republican states in each of the last eight years, and Montana, Alaska, Alabama, Nebraska and North Dakota have appeared in the top 10 in seven of the eight years. There is even greater consistency among Democratic states — all but two of the 10 most Democratic states in 2015 (New Mexico and Connecticut) have ranked in the top 10 in each of the last eight years, with Connecticut appearing seven times. New Mexico ranked among the top 10 states for the first time in 2015, with Delaware falling out of the top 10.

Ohio, North Carolina, Minnesota, Wisconsin and Florida are the most evenly balanced states politically, with less than one point separating Democratic and Republican Party preferences in those states. These states have been among the most highly contested “swing states” in recent presidential elections.

Alabama, Idaho Most Conservative States

In addition to assessing party leanings, Gallup asks Americans whether they identify politically as liberal, moderate or conservative. Nationally, many more Americans say they are conservative than liberal, and consequently, conservatives outnumber liberals in all but three states — Vermont, Massachusetts and Rhode Island. The full data on ideology by state appear at the end of the article.

Partisanship and ideology are highly correlated. As a result, there is usually much overlap between the most conservative and most Republican states and, alternatively, between the most liberal and most Democratic states. Seven of the 10 most Republican states also rank among the most conservative, although Alabama, the fifth-most Republican state, ties Idaho as the most conservative. Vermont ranks as the most liberal state by a wide margin over second-place Massachusetts.

Most and Least Conservative States, 2015

States that rank among the most conservative but not the most Republican include Arkansas, Mississippi and Louisiana, three Southern states that recently have voted Republican but were strongly Democratic states decades ago. Oregon, New Jersey and Washington rank among the least conservative states, but not among the most Democratic. However, those three states rank just outside the 10 most Democratic.

Implications

Monday’s voting in the Iowa caucuses marked the beginning of voting in the 2016 presidential election campaign. The ultimate winner will be determined according to electoral votes won, based on each state’s popular vote on Election Day this November. Presidential campaign strategists spend a lot of time developing their campaign plan and allocating resources based on which states’ outcomes are uncertain to determine where campaigning can make the biggest difference.

The partisanship of the state population is a starting point in determining a state’s likely vote, and there are more states in the Republican column heading into 2016 — a positive sign for the GOP. But because electoral votes are based on state population, the size of the state matters as much as the number of states each party holds. The 20 states that Gallup classifies as solidly Republican or leaning Republican account for 152 electoral votes, less than the 187 accounted for by the 14 solidly or leaning Democratic states plus the heavily Democratic District of Columbia.

But the election will not be merely a reflection of party preferences among adults in each state. If party preferences led directly to vote outcomes, Democrats would surely have won most presidential elections in the past, given their historical advantage in party preferences nationally.

Turnout is another key factor in determining the outcome, and it will especially be key in the 16 competitive states, which together account for 199 electoral votes. Republicans typically have an advantage in voter turnout in elections, and they will need to at least match Democratic turnout in competitive states in which they have a slight party advantage among all adults, such as Georgia, Virginia and Arizona. And the GOP will likely need to exceed Democratic turnout to win some of the larger, most politically balanced states like Florida, Ohio and North Carolina.

These data are available in Gallup Analytics.

Survey Methods

Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted Jan. 1-Dec. 31, 2015, on the Gallup U.S. Daily survey, with a random sample of 177,991 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±1 percentage point at the 95% confidence level.

Margins of error for individual states are no greater than ±6 percentage points and are ±3 percentage points in most states. All reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.

Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 60% cellphone respondents and 40% landline re

  • DemocracyRules

    And Many States are getting redder by the minute.

    They are mad as hell and they’re not going to take it anymore. The MSM is ignoring the events in the FBI vs rancher standoff in Oregon. But I am watching it carefully because it looks very bad indeed. A ‘trigger effect’ is possible. This is from the Oath Keepers website. Many are law enforcement officers, especially Sheriffs, who swear allegiance only to the US Constitution:

    OATH KEEPERS:
    ORDERS WE WILL NOT OBEY
    1. We will NOT obey orders to disarm the American people.

    2. We will NOT obey orders to conduct warrantless searches of the American people
.
    3. We will NOT obey orders to detain American citizens as “unlawful enemy combatants” or to subject them to military tribunal.

    4. We will NOT obey orders to impose martial law or a “state of emergency” on a state.

    5. We will NOT obey orders to invade and subjugate any state that asserts its sovereignty.

    6. We will NOT obey any order to blockade American cities, thus turning them into giant concentration camps.
    
7. We will NOT obey any order to force American citizens into any form of detention camps under any pretext.

    8. We will NOT obey orders to assist or support the use of any foreign troops on U.S. soil against the American people to “keep the peace” or to “maintain control.”

    9. We will NOT obey any orders to confiscate the property of the American people, including food and other essential supplies.

    10. We will NOT obey any orders which infringe on the right of the people to free speech, to peaceably assemble, and to petition their government for a redress of grievances.

    https://www.oathkeepers.org/

    • DemocracyRules

      ANOTHER
      Key movement is called ‘nullification’.
      http://tenthamendmentcenter.com/
      Sates can pass laws that nullify Federal Laws. Especailly if the laws are unconstitutional.
      Today’s nullification movement is revolutionary because it offers the hope of smashing the established political order; an alternative to “voting the bums out” only to see them replaced by new “bums” who violate the Constitution in more costly and dangerous ways each year, or relying on the federal government to limit its own power. ~ 10th Amendment center

      The Nullification Report is here:
      http://tenthamendmentcenter.com/report/

      • DemocracyRules

        And don’t forget
        the Law Enforcement Legal Defense Fund (LELDF)
        http://www.policedefense.org/

        They defend law enforcement officers who have been wrongly accused of misconduct.

        All these organizations need volunteers…

        • empiresentry

          NICE LEAD! Never heard of them!

        • joe1429

          Thanks for the info!!

      • ted

        Dont forget jury nullification.

        • DemocracyRules

          ted:
          What’s that?

        • DemocracyRules

          ted:
          What’s that?

    • Mahou Shoujo

      It is very regrettable that the American people have to inform their treacherous incompetent government that they will not obey treasonous invaders who would enslave America to islam. What ever happened to a government “of the people for the people”? Silly me, the democrats are in power, that explains the treason.

      • DemocracyRules

        Mahou Shoujo
        Hi again. You and I have discussed this before. But by now it appears that if Trump (or any Republican) wins the Presidency, not much will change.

        When Goldwater ran, his plan was to spend his time getting rid of the dumbest laws, instead of making up more silly stuff. The MSM said he was crazy.

        • Mahou Shoujo

          If a democrat wins, things will definitely change for the worse, if America doesn’t what to progress, at least do not vote democrat and go back to the seventh century under shari’a law, which is 100% incompatible with the constitution, decent human behaviour or even the social level of higher apes and more advanced monkeys.

          • DemocracyRules

            Mahou:
            I think you are right about the monkeys. Having studied Chimps for awhile, I see that in many ways, they are very civil towards each other. No beheading, nothing.

          • Mahou Shoujo

            That is why muhammad did not like them, they were far too civilized for islam.

          • wilypagan

            Cockroaches are too civilized for islam.

            La cucaracha, la cucaracha
            Ya no puede caminar
            Por que no tiene, por que le falta
            Cabezas para blastar.

          • Mahou Shoujo

            Cockroaches are much preferable to muslims.

          • I prefer Bonobos

          • durabo

            Bonobos do it face-to-face, right?

          • wilypagan

            Aren’t you in Canada? How is it with dhimmi Trudeau in charge?

          • Mahou Shoujo

            Canada is in an economic depression, despite the taqiyya emanating from Ottawa, fortunately there are a few conservatives left to at least raise questions about the liberal mishandling of the country. But, the people have chosen to elect liberal imbeciles to parliament. It will be a rough four years.

          • wilypagan

            Have you considered Japan? Isn’t it Muslim free over there?

          • Mahou Shoujo

            Nope there are some there, but, they are fully aware that the laws of Japan are enforced, sharia is criminal, in Japan there is only one law, Japanese. My ancestors brought me here, it is home, will stay and like it.

          • wilypagan

            I think that the Japanese are a superior people. I went to college with many Japanese kids in Hawaii and they were very diligent students and kept me on my toes. Canada is lucky to have you, for you are a well spoken defender of her liberty.

          • NotIslamophobicCanadianAthiest

            Getting worse each day. Homeless people,low income must wait for immigrants to be treated like royalty.
            The guy that used his dead 3 year old to stage a picture has a house in good old libtard BC already.
            Every time Jus-Tin Turdeau opens his mouth he gives away our money.
            And he still can’t talk or keep a serious thought in his pea sized brain.

            Other then that,baring him moving south,I kinda dislike him for being a lying libtard.

    • Don Grantham

      I’m as mad as Hell… and I approve of this message.

    • wilypagan

      That BS has been on their site for years, yet they haven’t done a thing, even though the islamist in chief is openly cavorting with our enemies and has appointed them to high positions in our government agencies. Oathkeepers, my ass.

    • AnneM040359

      Thank-you for going into detail.

    • ted

      I would like to see an honest poll of what Americans think of the events in Oregon. Not from Gallup though after their call on Georgia.

    • empiresentry

      This is actually extremely important.
      The president of the United States is elected by the Electoral College.
      – Governor appoints the electors and electors must follow popular vote.
      – Governor appoints the electors, and the electors select the president
      – Upper chamber of the state selects electors who do not have to follow popular vote.

      And here is the Cold Water:
      The Dems still have a lock on electoral votes. Dims only need to win three or four dozen contested counties in VA, FL, and OH.
      They could lose 90-10% in every red state and every other swing state and easily win in November.

      Dems will head into the election with a 191 to 148 advantage, with 199 up for grabs. They only need the Big 10 states – Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa, that’s 80 electoral votes and puts them at 271.

      We are done and over before even starting just because of the way electoral votes are derived and how local popular votes are counted. For example, the three big inner cities in Ohio determine the entire vote for the entire state.

      Rubio gives us Florida and the Hispanic community
      Kasich as VP might give us Ohio.

      Unless WE come up with a way to get millions who usually don’t vote to come out and vote for them in droves, we will have Hillary, a flipped Supreme Court and failed healthcare and employment,

    • Bradley Lexvold

      Also needs to be mentioned is the 3%ers and their rapidly growing militia movement. Forget all your stereo types, they come to create a place of peaceful protest and open dialog. Their winning hearts and minds of locals. The more you look into this story, the more you see MSM is quite misleading and just plain lying in its reporting. This story is rich with diversity of interested parties, but if you think some people here have been unkind, posted mean spirited things, its nothing compared to what they say about militia and LaVoy Finicum. Hoping Fed gov kills all sit ins and Pissing on a dead mans grave are the kind ones. They post things for the whole world to see how depraved their minds are, so don’t ever block people who post hate, let them, as their true character is exposed.
      When the left says their more afraid of the Christian militia than ISIS, see that for what it is, Satan’s way of telling you his downfall! Look into joining a 3%. You’ll have more in common with them than you think.

      • DemocracyRules

        Bradley
        According to the Constitution, most able-bodied men are already part of the militia. There are few a exceptions. Able-bodied women in certain categories are also included. In addition, most adult Americans are qualified to volunteer for militia duties.

        • DemocracyRules

          (1)
          About the shooting of LaVoy Finicum. There are numerous videos of the conflict online. The helicopter video is extremely clear. It was a snowy day. LaVoy Finicum was driving the SUV below the speed limit. Several passengers were inside, on the way to a meeting.

          They had arranged a meeting with the FBI later in the day.

          They came around a corner to find an FBI roadblock, with inadequate time to stop smoothly. LaVoy slid the vehicle into a snow drift just beside the roadblock, and immediately got out, holding his hands high in the air. His actions clearly show he was striving hard to show obedience to the law.

          • DemocracyRules

            (2)
            The SUV came under fire from the FBI before the SUV even stopped, just a few feet beside the roadblock. Nevertheless, LaVoy Finicum left the vehicle while under fire, and left the driver’s door open, holding his hands high. This is clearly visible from the helicopter footage, because his clothing were dark, with a very snowy background. Thus, he displayed surrender, and clear evidence, with door left open, that the SUV had no driver, and it was not going to move.

            The FBI kept firing into the stationary vehicle with multiple hits. There was and no sign of threat from the passengers, who were down on the floor of the vehicle. No one in the vehicle returned fire, or was even visible, because they were on the floor.

          • DemocracyRules

            (3)
            LaVoy Finicum was hit by FBI gunfire almost immediately upon leaving the vehicle. After what appeared to be two shots to his upper trunk, he lowered one hand toward the wound. A third shot, probably a shotgun fired at close range, knocked him down. But he was not dead, and showed movement as he lay on the ground. He was waving one arm, as if he was still trying to surrender. An FBI rifleman then shot LaVoy Finicum in the head from about 20 feet away.

            Gunfire continued to strike the SUV, even though no shots were fired from it, nor were guns visible inside it.

            LaVoy Finicum had no history of violence, and was very even-tempered. He had never had a speeding ticket in his life. As his youtube videos attest, he was intelligent, well-spoken, articulate, and logical. A very peaceable rancher who worked very hard on the land he owned.

          • DemocracyRules

            (4)
            Please, if you view any of the numerous videos or stories that attest to these events, please download them to your computer. The online evidence can be scrubbed at any time.

            And please, don’t over-react to what you see or hear. Nothing is going to fix this in the next 15 minutes. And by then your head will be more clear and rational. I am not as good a man as LaVoy Finicum was, and I know from personal experience that righteous indignation is never helpful in situations like this. The cooler your head, the better.

          • Bradley Lexvold

            You didn’t include a video, so I will. It’s a breakdown of the 1st three shooters, 4th comes later in vid. Please keep sharing this story where ever you can, and I mean the whole story! Lots of practical information, such as sheriff as highest official in county, over ranking fed officials. Can be useful in Mosque closing, and abortion clinics closing. They can be legitimately arrested for a depraved indifference for humanity. If they can slaughter LaVoy, they can kill anyone. Also I’ll try to post link for unconstitutionality of Mosque’s. Are you going to become a 3%er? Their interests are much broader than Oath Keepers. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HRmbVDS4p4I https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cfWeAwliyQA

          • Bradley Lexvold

            Near as I can tell, you can put together a Committee of Safety and then ask sheriff to shut down a mosque because of its unconstitutionality and if sheriff won’t, call in the militia and report your findings to them. This is why militia’s exist, they are the peoples army. If you can find legitimate legal error here, please indicate, so errors can be found, and we can move forward with mosque closings.

          • DemocracyRules

            Bradley:
            Thanks for your comment. Here are my 2 cents worth of comments. Of course, the news-managers immediately yell “knuckle-draggers” whenever they hear the word “militia”. Remember also that the current federal actions seem to stem from the current Federal administration. A public prosecutor’s guidebook was published by Eric Holder. It warned about domestic terrorists, who were labelled “Super Patriots” in the document.

            Please emphasize the need for slow, deliberate, well-planned activities. Mobs are fast and emotional. Try to be the opposite of that. The truth is eternal, and it can wait if it has to. The Constitution is old, and has always been under attack.

            If the sheriff won’t or can’t act, then work to elect one that will. Organize, organize. Don’t forget about county referendums. If the Lions club can be national, then so can we.

          • DemocracyRules

            This helicopter photo shows LaVoy Finicum’s last few moments on earth.
            https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/3ee3183e9a90be6135c9aeda408872dd07f551f5d0e92c61bdce28b44dceacc3.jpg

  • Mahou Shoujo

    Democrats, like diapers, have to be changed frequently, for the same reasons.

    • Don Grantham

      If Obama had a son…

      • Mahou Shoujo

        A democrat with a full diaper
        Collection of wisdom from a wanker
        Like old democrat bags
        Severally it sags
        Democrat, islamic rationalizer

        • Don Grantham

          A poo poo a doo

          • Mahou Shoujo

            Do democrats have their hair done in “poopadour’s?”

  • DemocracyRules

    Nullification has also begun to spread to the County level. That’s good. How many conservative commenters say, “What can I do? It’s hopeless.”

    But in Coos Bay County, Oregon, the local authorizes did a referendum, and passed a local law against the enforcement of new Oregon gun laws.

    State or Federal authorities caught trying to enforce those laws in Coos County are subject to arrest and a $2,000 fine.

    It’s possible to do a lot at the local level.

    • Richard

      A sheriff can do it. Sheriff trumps federal enforcement.

    • ted

      Its tough if the local level is filled with dumbocrats.

      • DemocracyRules

        Well, it actually helps a lot to preach to the converted. All of us feel isolated and alone from time to time. It’s great to have a like-minded person to talk to, who sees things correctly, and will discuss the pros and cons of various ideas. Almost every major movement and institution in the world was started by one person.

  • EJO

    With regard to Mr. Trump.

    A week, or so ago I thought to myself, “This guy is starting to get on my nerves.”

    But know I believe this guy has become a full fledged irritant. During the Garland Texas contest didn’t he call Miss Geller a blowhard? Well who’s the blowhard now? Words like egotist, and narcissist also come to mind.

    I am convinced now that Trump will say, or do anything, no matter how asinine, or bizarre, or false, in order to get elected President.

    Another possibility is that this whole “running for President” thing might just be nothing more than a hoax perpetrated on an unsuspecting citizenry that is fed up the status quo in Washington.

    • Don Grantham

      You know, that has occurred to me as well. It’s not as if he really needs to be POTUS… he can still fire lots of people anyway.

      • honeybee

        Fire or fire at ?????????????

  • JayPee

    Why not talk turkey
    It was the msm that assigned the colors
    The democrats should obviously been RED
    And the Republicans whatever although
    either Buff or Blue would have been apropo
    given the Whig party colors were that

    • Richard

      “The democrats should obviously been RED”
      I know, huh? Like…totally.
      [/Inner Valley Girl/Off]
      Seriously, who decided the right should be colored red anyway? CNN?

      • JayPee

        If you don’t think that the democrat party is basically the communist party usa,
        then you’re just as stupid as I think you are
        HUH ?

        • Richard

          About what I’d expect from someone who chooses to name themselves after urine.
          RIF (Reading Is Fundamental)

        • durabo

          Bingo!

      • DemocracyRules

        JayPee + Richard:
        It’s arbitrary. The current red state – blue state dichotomy was invented by TV networks in the Gore-Bush election of 2000. The colors help with the endless media game called “hide the commie”.

        http://www.smithsonianmag.com/history/when-republicans-were-blue-and-democrats-were-red-104176297/#tAFMqtFfk61f8ylk.99

      • empiresentry

        yes.
        The Dims cried about it so it was switched back.

        They did not want to be associated with the progressive or socialistic.

    • durabo

      I agree. I have always wondered why a supposedly conservative party would associate itself with a communist color.

  • marlene

    cruz voted to fast track the TPP; for the H-1B visas, sponsored his own progressive S.306, failed to vote against Loretta Lynch, supports the NAU, supports illegal anchor babies and citizenship for illegal parents, took crime money from Goldman Sachs, gave $500,000 to communist fiorina, affiliated himself with the CFR, his donors are on the Shariah Financial Institutions list, Saul Anuzis, a Hezbollah lover, is his Michigan campaign Chief, his closest counselors are neocons, he opposed the Deportation Force, his donors are accused of money laundering, helping tax cheats, and pro-amnesty – how do you think he will pay them back???, he voted against funding our US Troops; and more bad news – and you call this “conservative”??? cruz is bad news, very bad.

    • Robert Bayer

      You are right .. I recall him going to the Mexican border and bring soccer balls and dolls for the illegal children …. thousands of whom has been raped and murdered in their chaotic journey north .. because of the encouragement to make the trip north by pos politicians such as Obama and …. yes .. Cruz .. Cruz is better than Obama but he is not good news. Pamela is so wrong about Cruz ..So right about Islam but not in this case. Maybe there is no right choice but .. trust Trump and Carson more …

  • eric12325

    With the crap Cruz pulled ,I lost all respect for him, he will not be getting my vote

    • wilypagan

      Go Trump!

  • RCCA

    Corroborating info, Electoral College: http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/the-map-11-angles-on-the-electoral-college/
    Respectfully disagree. It’s going to be another very close election, nothing like Ronald Reagan versus Walter Mondale who had been Carter’s Vice President.

    • Drew the Infidel

      Add to the Carter taint the fact that Mondale’s campaign manager was Bob Beckel, the resident liberal who managed to get his a** run off from Fox News for prejudicial and inflammatory remarks. He “managed” to lose 49 states.

  • Drew the Infidel

    The biggest hitch in all this is that the 270 electoral votes needed to win are in the Eastern Time zone. And whatever pattern prevails there will be repeated the entire length of the Left Coast of WA, OR, and CA. I have a theory concerning the mental capacity of those living near large bodies of water which is easy to guess.

    • DanTriplett

      I agree.

      This is why I believe that each stae’s election results should not be made public until the last vote is cast in Alaska and Hawaii.

      • Drew the Infidel

        Agreed. In 2012 the election had been called while votes were still being counted in the Central zone and still being cast in the Mountain and Pacific zones.

  • Robert Bayer

    Is it Ted Cruz who is calling for a stop to Islamic immigration? Did he say he would send the Muslims back whom Obama is bringing over with 1.7 billion dollars in taxpayer cash in 2016? Did Ted Cruz say build a wall between the US and Mexico or did he instead bring thousands of soccer balls and dolls to welcome the illegals?

    I didn’t think so either ..

    • wilypagan

      Go Trump!

  • BonniePrinceCharlie

    But Donald was right to complain. The Cruz camp released a tweet stating falsely that Dr Ben Carson had pulled out before the caucuses, leaving his votes up for grabs – and Cruz grabbed many if them. What is shameful is that the other candidates – some of whom must have benefited from this false rumour – did not complain at such underhand tactics.

    • honeybee

      Defending a fellow Scotsman

  • Lysander Spooner

    Pamela Geller is an American hero, and Trump’s response to her art show in Texas showed he left much room for improvement in his understanding and appreciation of free speech and artistic protest.

    Cruz is not a natural-born citizen and it can be argued he has potentially divided loyalties.

    Pamela Geller should support a natural-born citizen and win the candidate over to her cause based on the stellar merits of her arguments.

    • wilypagan

      Very true. Pamela should make up with Trump and do an interview with him on her site. She could be instrumental in assisting his administration with the muslim problem.

    • Mahou Shoujo

      Compare Cruz to hussain, ancestry, upbringing, focus, concept of America.

  • Larenzo1

    Cruz will never be President. Certainly not after the dirty tricks he pulled in Iowa! I was The Wisconsin governor but it seems like he was just not ready yet. Out of all the Republican candidate it was Cruz that resorted to last minute dirty tricks That shows me he has character problems.

  • durabo

    More the reason for Sheikh Hussein al-Obamastan to stage a crisis, declare martial law, and TRY to stay in power. There will be no national elections in November. Guaranteed: he’ll end up like Mussolini, Allende, Ceausescu and Kaddafi.

    • wilypagan

      He is too much the coward.

    • AnneM040359

      Not really.

  • Stephen Honig

    Pamela makes good points. However, Trump should be careful of what he says, since he has many peccadillo and it hurts him. On the other hand it shows he’s not a politician. I do not wavier and I say Cruz is not winnable in a presidential election, Trump is. I’ll support any Republican over any Democrat, but that’s not the issue. I also did not like that Cruz brought too much religion in his speech and was not sincere. Cruz is still a backroom politician. They’re all are except Trump and that’s why deal making Republicans don’t like him.

    • wilypagan

      100% agree with everything you said. Trump will bring over the working class Dems.

    • Robert Bayer

      I agree Trump stupidly insulted Pamela … and wish he would apologize but … otherwise .. these 2 should be on the same team.

  • wilypagan

    Pamela, the attacks on Trump are getting old. Cruz is a NWO globalist who has supported high tech visas and doesn’t give a hoot about Americans or jobs for Americans. He and his wife owe the banker cartel (GS loan) and he will be unelectable in the general election due to extreme religiosity. Most of us want to hear our Scripture in church not on the campaign trail. If Cruz is the nominee, I will stay home. Go Trump!

  • Nico Kazan

    Pamela you are unfair towards Trump. Yes he lost to Cruz but nevertheless came second place. Besides he is most outspoken of opponents of Islam and said that he will ban Muslims which want to enter US and build wall between Mexico and US. He takes the task of blocking destructive elements from US in earnest.

  • AnneM040359

    Not surprised. People have had it.

  • AnneM040359

    As Sen. Cruz gets more popular, sadly, he will come under greater attack as well, and not just from Donald Trump, whom I suspect, is going into meltdown mode.

  • eva

    Cruz is not eligible. Mom was a US citizen but dad was Cuban, Cruz birth in Canada made him dual US, I believe he could have also elected to be Cuban, if he had desired. Neither is Rubio, Jindal, nor rising star, SC Gov Nicki Haley, as all 3 are anchor babies, no parent was a US citizen when they were born. A Natural born citizen is born on US soil to two US citizen parents, period. See http:// cdrkerchner.wordpress.com and Vattell’s Law of Nations. What happens if Cruz or Rubio is the nominee, at the 11th hour, too late to have another person on the ballot, and the Democrats declare the Republican nominee as illegal? Will that not put the Democrat in? Look what having an illegal in the WH has done to us the last 8 years! Our founding fathers were concerned about divided loyalities, John Jay wrote Geo Washington regarding this matter and they agreed that the office of POTUS and VP were to be held to a higher level of citizenship than any other office. Our Constitution has served us for over 200 years, we need to get back to following it or lose our country.

    • Mahou Shoujo

      If a Kenyan of mixed ancestry and dubious upbringing can become U.S president, then anyone can.

      • DemocracyRules

        Mahou:
        Next up for US President: Vladimir Putin.

        • Mahou Shoujo

          There are worse choices… hilary the orc for one.

  • ted

    I wouldnt trust their results. Georgia – competitve ?????. Its been solid red since 2002.

    Did they limit their polling to the city of Atlanta?

  • 762x51FMJ

    Conservative Constitutionalists 2016 !

  • 762x51FMJ

    Problem solved.

    • chris wolf

      Trump-Cruz ’16
      Please, Dear God.

  • Trevor Fortune

    So now that Cruz has admitted that his team pulled a dirty rat trick on Carson telling delegates he was withdrawing from the race so they would shift their support to Cruz it would seem pretty obvious that Cruz would not have beaten Trump in Iowa and maybe not even Rubio. So how is your “sore loser” claim against Trump looking now? Don’t get me wrong, I’m not saying Trump is the best choice or Cruz the worst but if he is willing to backstab a fellow Republican to gain power what would a Cruz presidency really bring to the world?

  • chris wolf

    Jeb! never looked as confident and confidence-inspiring as when he was hiding behind his mother who was there to fight his battles for him.
    Then he proceeds to insult her.
    This is a joke, right?
    Jeb!?
    The Bushes have done more than enough damage.

  • chris wolf

    One thing you can say for Trump — he’s intelligent enough to say it won’t “BE a factor,” instead of “PLAY a factor,” like so many sports talk suck ups who want to sound as illiterate as the athletes whose jocks they love to sniff.
    Sports talk people are the lowest liberal form of life.
    Sports today is leading the return to the primitive.
    obama, he love sports!

  • joe1429

    The ONLY good thing obama has done for america…made it majority republican…

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