Muslim Migrants Will Cost Sweden 14 Times National Defense Budget

ByPamela Geller on February 20, 2016
Sweden refugees welcome

What madness has overtaken Europe? What possible benefit do European officials believe these migrants will bring to their countries? Why have those officials apparently all decided to commit national suicide together?

Sweden refugees 2

“REPORT: 2015 Migrant Crisis Will Cost Sweden KR583,000,000,000 – 14x The Country’s Defence Budget,” by Oliver JJ Lane, Breitbart, February 19, 2016 (thanks to The Religion of Peace):

A Swedish economist, researcher, and business professor has calculated the total cost of the migrant crisis for 2015 for Sweden, and has reached a “conservative” lifetime estimate of around 600 billion Swedish Kronor (£48.3 billion).

Stockholm University associate professor Jan Tullberg has looked beyond the immediate costs of merely receiving migrants and their initial impact — extra policing, higher social benefits — and claims to have found the true cost of just one year’s migration. Taking the claims of the Swedish government at face value has calculated what these ‘new Swedes’ will cost the state from now until they leave the country or die, which ever comes first.

Using best case scenario figures to generate what he calls a “conservative” estimate, he believes the 2015 intake will eventually cost the Swedish taxpayer kr 583,000,000,000 — or 583 billion. Swedish new-media news service Friatider (Free Times) reports a summarised version of the maths used to reach this figure, starting with the number of migrants who arrived in 2015.

Accepting the government’s claim that 60,000 of the 163,000 asylum claimants who arrived last year will be rejected and deported, Dr. Tullberg bases his initial calculations therefore on 103,000 new benefit claimants — or taxpayers — to assess the likely number of family reunifications. Sweden, like many other European countries observes the EU mandated human right to family life, allowing migrants granted residence to apply then to have the government bring over their families.

Because this right is often more rigorously enforced for unaccompanied minors, this allows one young man in his late teens to fight his way to northern Europe then exercise his rights to have his family flown over to catch up with him, all of whom then receive residency. Dr. Tullberg predicts with the new Swedish rules presently being worked on to tighten up this loophole — although he notes it has been deliberately worded to continue to allow almost all migrants to claim — will bring the total immigrants in the equation to 200,000.

The first cost Dr. Tullberg calculates therefore is the processing costs at the Migration Bureau, which shuffles paperwork, houses, feeds, and gives pocket money to each new arrival for an average of 414 days before they are signed off and legally permitted to start looking for work. However as Dr. Tullberg notes according to past experience it can take an average of eight years before migrants find any job,a nd many never find work at all and so stay on these benefits, at kr 150,000 (£12,500) a year.

The “establishment costs” therefore for 200,000 people Dr. Tullberg surmises could in his best-case estimate be around kr 240 billion (£20 billion).

Next comes the additional expense for so-called unaccompanied minors — under-18’s who have arrived in Sweden without their parents or family — which are so inflated Dr. Tullberg remarks “the costs for this group is almost bizarre”. He says these young arrivals are given “a government allowance of 1,900 kronor per person per day just for food and lodging. I put the cost at kr 800,000 per person per year”.

Deducting the kr 150,000 establishment cost, and multiplying the figure by both the approximately 28,000 under-aged arrivals last year and the average three years they will spend in this care, Dr. Tullberg finds an additional cost of another 55 billion kronor (£4.5 billion).

Although to this point the calculations have dealt with the costs of the immigrants given asylum status, those forced to leave still cost the state. Although the legal and practical costs of deportation are already high many will abscond, costing the state as undocumented migrants, and others will return to Sweden after the four year limitation period for apply for their residency permit again. Dr. Tullberg believes “a conservative estimate is [kr] 300,000 per person… rejection cost would be 60,000 people x 300,00”, giving an additional migrant crisis cost of 18 billion kronor (£1.5 billion).

Having considered the direct costs, the economist then turns to the gains from migrants, the tax they pay once they get through the asylum system and find jobs. But here the government is still paying out, as Dr. Tullberg finds migrants are on average a third less likely to have a paid job than native Swedes, and are unable to cover the cost of their own state pensions in tax contributions.

Basing his figures on a 2006 study which put the cost of a 15 year pension to age 80 at kr 3.4 million, and not even accounting for the fact the migrants in his study will earn less over their lifetimes than their native counterparts and therefore pay less tax, and that the pension age will rise in time, Dr. Tullberg estimates a pension cost of 204 billion kronor (£17 billion).

The academic’s final calculations are the costs of raising children, which based on the same assumptions of migrant employability again must be borne by the state. This Dr. Tullberg believes, with the high migrant birthrate will cost an additional 66 billion kronor (£5.4 billion).

The report claims the final figure of 583 billion kronor, which compared to the Swedish defence budget of 40 billion kronor a year, works out at around 14 years of defence for one year of open borders. The figure also works out at three million kronor per average migrant (£248,000), a figure Dr. Tullberg claims “is comparable to other studies, providing a basis for fair consideration”. One such study is a 2012 report which found the cost of “non-European immigrants to Norway” was some four million Norwegian krone.

In addition to the costs of migration, the Norwegian study also found migrants from outside Europe and the Anglosphere (North America, Australia, New Zealand) were more likely to settle permanently, rather than eventually going home, and had significantly more children.

Sweden is not the only country now thinking of the long term costs of the migrant crisis. Breitbart London reported this week on the projections being made about the healthcare costs of new migrants in Germany, who present experience is showing require more dental and healthcare than their native hosts. While the migrant crisis drags on German private healthcare providers are being forced to foot the bill for new customers who themselves are not asked to pay into the pot.

The German government is responsible for paying their bills but so far, has not been meeting the full cost. By 2017, the hundreds of small insurers and providers that make up Germany’s healthcare system are forecast to be facing a one billion Euro deficit.

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  • Fred

    Wake up America! Sharia is coming! Now get up and do something about it. We are less than one year from the end of an error. Don’t let another one happen.

    TRUMP 2016!

    • Trump!!!!!

      • joe1429

        In 2016 and 2020!!!!!!!

    • Arcturus

      Do you mean “era?”

      • Mahou Shoujo

        hussain was definitely an “error”.

  • Juan
  • I salute these people……………..I don’t know the Allah of Islam is blind to order killing of such innocent and human loving Christians in Quran. Allah’s hatred has been defeated by the love of Christians. Christians are living embodiment of Jesus Christ’s saying Love Thy Enemy and pray for those who persecute you. An interesting article on the same topic………

    • IzlamIsTyranny

      Loving your muslum enemy isn’t a sustainable long term plan for Christians — all we have to do is look at what muslums are doing to Christians all across the muslum world to verify that hypothesis.

    • Mahou Shoujo

      Meek does not mean weak. if one’s enemies do not have any thoughts of forgiving their enemies, there is a problem.

  • Jon in MD 22

    Sweden has a military, who knew? If they had real men there’d be no Muslims in the country.

    • Ron Cole

      Every home is armed, trained, and for this reason crime (was) low.
      Now that they have let the criminal indoctrinated muslim enemy in that may change.

      • Jon in MD 22

        It already has as Sweden is the rape Capitol of Europe.


          It can go on travel brochures for people considering travel to Sweden.

          Come for the gloom and doom. Stay for the rape gangs.

          • IzlamIsTyranny


          • Mahou Shoujo

            “Sweden, land of rape, by sunni”.

          • joe1429

            Yes.. enjoy the beaches….while being gangraped!! lol

        • joe1429

          The worst part is the stupid swedes probably dont know they are , because of the media censorship, lol

    • berserker

      Listen to the following:
      – Apparently, the police are actively recruiting from minorities (Muslims). Whose side are they going to be on if it comes down to a civil war?

      • IzlamIsTyranny

        You don’t think US law enforcement is recruiting f’ing muslums? The C-I-A is reportedly headed by a muslum and so is the DHS.

        • roger

          Yeah, eventually it will be like Indonesia, where the police stand and watch the crowds beat and kill Ahmadia muslims and other “lesser” muslims.

          • IzlamIsTyranny

            Or Pakistain, where a Christian pastor accused of blasphemy was disappered from police custody, never to be seen again.

          • Heather Waring

            ::c144Work At Home….Special Report….Earn 18k+ per monthfew days ago new McLaren. F1 bought after earning 18,512$,,,this was my previous month’s paycheck ,and-a little over, 17k$ Last month ..3-5 h/r of work a days ..with extra open doors & weekly. paychecks.. it’s realy the easiest work I have ever Do.. I Joined This 7 months ago and now making over 87$, p/h.Learn. More right Here::c144➤➤➤➤➤­nu .❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:❦2:::::::c144…………

      • joe1429

        than the muslum cops in sweden… will be able to Legally rape the women

  • bdhj

    Less well known is the paradox of tolerance: Unlimited tolerance must lead to the disappearance of tolerance. If we extend unlimited tolerance even to those who are intolerant, if we are not prepared to defend a tolerant society against the onslaught of the intolerant, then the tolerant will be destroyed, and tolerance with them. – Karl Popper

    • rad

      The principle – liberty for all, must not extend to the people who despise liberty and seek to destroy it.

  • Gleaner1

    Pam poses the question, ” what possible benefit do European officials believe these migrants will bring to their countries”?

    This question misses the point entirely.

    The whole issue of mass immigration of uneducated and useless people from backward countries into advanced first world European societies is NOT about “charity” or “paying for our pensions” by increasing the work force, it’s about race replacement. How do immigrants illiterate in their OWN languages contribute advanced industrial skills the don’t posses in languages they cannot comprehend to organised, educated , disciplined western societies?

    White native Europeans are becoming fewer and fewer, birth rates need to be 2.11 children per couple to stand still, Italy last year recorded the lowest birth rate since independence from Austria, 488,000. Most countries can manage only 1.3 to 1.64 children per couple, the average age in Germany is 43, in Iran it’s around 26.

    Cultural compromises coupled with endless excuses for the migrants appalling attitudes to OUR cultural norms, wives and daughters is the price civil society is paying for this policy of race and culture replacement, while the MSM and most European governments look the other way as the assault count racks higher and higher.

    The OIC inspired United Nations stated in 2000 that white European populations should be replaced by immigrants from Islamic Asia and Africa, the Barcelona process, leading to the Barcelona Agreement enacted January 2010 enabled these developments, the voting public were kept ignorant about the whole plot until last years tidal wave of immigrants, now people are taking an interest.

    The numbers of Muslims coming into Europe since 1990 are staggering, nudging 28 million to date , since 1990 Spain and Italy have allowed 5 amnesties to all their illegal African and Arabic migrants, those people now have legal passports as do all their family members, this has led to our problems today and I for one did NOT vote for it.

    America too is subject to this new policy, how many Americans know that from 2008 to 2014 the No1 language for immigrants into the US was Arabic not Spanish? 95,470 plus 37,296 Somalis {Spanish speakers 28,600}. U.S. refugee processing centre April 2015.

    When you view these clips, you begin to understand how some of us feel,
    google LiveLeak-With Open Gates
    and You Tube:- Break Europe, Merkel and her Migrants
    You Tube:- What is cultural Marxism.

    For more detail, Breitbart London, Europe’s Rape Epidemic by Anne-Marie Waters. {This is a must read}.


    Eurabia demonstrates that Socialism destroys countries.

    May “rapefugees” continue to flood into Sweden and other Socialist hellholes.

  • Millionmileman

    For those in Linköping, that’s 1,186 Gripens or nose to nose, 10.332576 miles/16.6286691901km. All the engines ad up to 11,835.13211804 Total Tonnes of Trust! Or a 1 hour mission with all these aircraft would end ISIS and the Syrian War in one sorte. This includes Putin’s participation. Arithmetic was my worse subject at school but Geography and Politics are my forte.

    For those with more time on their hands here’s the video version

    Just dreaming!

  • JSebastian

    Ragheads are leeches.

  • I would rather have a fourteen times larger defense department with which to defend against migrants and treasonous politicians.

  • foundingfathersfollower
  • roger

    The Swedish are not going to need their military anyway, who are they going to use it against, Invaders?, maybe use what is left of it on the few white Swedish patriots that are left.

  • foundingfathersfollower

    Sweden (the people) never asked for this responsibility. The only solution for
    this enormous problem is to deport the majority of the immigrants.
    C:a 1% out of the “new arraivers” should be able to stay. That is 1% of the
    total population in Sweden.
    Police and military need to get with the program and get ready for a lot of unrest.
    Perhaps they will even have a civil war.
    Heartbreaking to have to face this fact, but it HAS to be faced.

  • foundingfathersfollower

    Vote for Donald Trump 2016.

  • foundingfathersfollower

    Read and listen to Daesh D’Souza. Search on-line and you-tube.

    • IzlamIsTyranny

      I’ve found D’Souza to be an islamic apologist in the past.

  • Everything I’ve read recently concerning the Germans citizens attitude, if they need a tooth out(as part of their dental needs), they should have them line up & let the rape victims and their boyfriends punch them in the mouth until the tooth is Knocked out!!

  • Viking Trance – Smart Dog Video by Napoleon Bonaparte (52 videos)

    • suqsid4

      Would be good for the Viking legacy to awake.

      But we do know the war of Islam is a grim reality.

      • Yes, I agree. The liberal/left doesn’t understand Islam is a warmongering philosophy and, despite the daily carnage, will not accept that war is being waged on us.

  • IzlamIsTyranny

    For Swedenistan it’s time to turn out the lights the party’s over:

  • Marc Goldstone

    If the migrants were sterilized a monetary figure could be estimated, but these migrants don’t assimilate into their host society and they reproduce making generations of freeloaders. In biological terms these Muslim migrants are anything but symbiotic, instead like a virus they infest and destroy the host.

  • Arcturus

    That is monetary cost. How does one put a cost on the destruction of a civilization and the protection of its people?

  • I wonder, has anyone checked the bank accounts of all these world leaders?? I can’t see any other reason they would let millions of Muslim POS’S into their countries other than they got paid a boat load by the MUSLIME!!!
    I also say that this is total TREASON to all of their people and their countries! It is coming to the U.S.A., SOONER OR LATER!!!

  • Mahou Shoujo

    Swedes got suckered in first by socialism, then, there own hand wringing self loathing brain dead do gooders who suffer from delusions that tax money comes from an endless supply in some government office. Such fools, they are taught recreational sex in school, but nothing about balancing a budget.

  • denise smith

    Their go broke soon

  • joker

    Sweden always neutral but one of the biggest arms supplier in the world. Like the Netherlands and Belgium. I always blame Abba for the decline of Sweden. They were never able to find the killer of Olaf Palme. What a loosers.

    • foundingfathersfollower

      Palme is/was the reason for the for the left wing (democrats) growing strong
      in Sweden with the “multiculturism” being adopted in the Swedish Parliament
      in 1975. This was the start of the unravel we now see there.
      Palme probably has done the most damage to Sweden, more than anyone
      else in history.

    • Mahou Shoujo

      Once islam is finished destroying the swedish economy, its arms market share will be picked up by Poland, Czechoslovakia, China and Russia,

  • Mindy Robinson

    This doesn’t even take into account the cost of the crimes these “migrants” will engage in, the fact that new slums will rise up, tourism will be impacted negatively, legal battle after legal battle will be fought to stop the “migrants” from implementing sharia law, in the end, given the fact that the “migrants” breed like rabbits, eu won’t exist within a decade , all of eu will be a 3’rd world islamic cess pool.

  • joe1429

    The muslums will drain europe dry …. than terrorze them as well!